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October 1-10, 2005

  • Weekly Summary

Midwest Weekly Highlights - October 1-10, 2005


Summer-Like Start to October

Unusually warm weather continued into the first week of October across much of the Midwest.  It was warmer than normal across the entire region, with  temperature departures of +8°F to +9° from northern Wisconsin eastward across northern lower Michigan (Figure 1).  The coolest weather was found from western Minnesota south through Missouri, where temperatures were only 1°F to 2°F above normal.  The cooler weather in Minnesota was in part due to more cloudiness and rain than the rest of the region and a front that bisected the state the early part ofthe period.  Rainfall was particularly heavy from east-central Minnesota through northwestern Wisconsin (Figure 2).   Rainfall was also above normal across northern Missouri and in southeastern Ohio.  However, much of the central Midwest saw very little rainfall, and parts of Iowa, Illinois, and southern Wisconsin remained in Extreme Drought on the U.S. Drought Monitor (Figure 3).


Warm and Muggy

As the month started a large area of high pressure was sprawled across the eastern half of the U.S.  The high, in combination with a developing low over the Northern Plains, produced strong southwesterly winds over the Midwest (Figure 4).  The result was unseasonably warm  and humid weather across much of the region.  On October 2 the minimum temperature at Minneapolis-St. Paul, MN reached only 65°F, a record high minimum for the date (old record 62°F in 1897).  On October 3 the minimum temperature at Minneapolis-St. Paul was only 72°F, a new record high minimum for the date and the new record monthly high minimum temperature.  The old record was 69°F in 1997. Maximum temperatures in the mid and upper 80s were common as far north as Minnesota and Wisconsin.   


First Autumn Blast

By October 4 another area of low pressure was developing in the central Rockies along a strong cold front which divided very cool air to the north from the unseasonable warm and muggy air south. As a strong upper level trough of low pressure approached the northern U.S. late on October 4 the surface low pressure system went through rapid intensification. By the morning of October 5 this low moved to south central Minnesota, producing torrential rains in a band from east-central Minnesota to northwestern Wisconsin (Figure 5).  Snow was falling in the cold air over northwestern Minnesota, and as far west as the Dakotas, where blizzard warnings were issued.  Thunderstorms repeatedly developed along the slow-moving boundary, and rainfall amounts in eastern Minnesota and western Wisconsin on October 4-5 exceed nine inches in a number of locations, and mounts in excess of five inches were common producing widespread flash flooding.  The low moved to the north of the Great Lakes by the morning of October 6, and much colder air spilled into the Midwest as the front pushed south into the Gulf of Mexico. On October 6 maximum temperatures were in the 40s in Minnesota and struggled to reach 60°F as far south as Illinois and Missouri, some 25°F to 30°F colder than the highs the day before. Ahead of the front in Ohio temperatures again reached the mid 80s. With the center of the cold high pressure system well north of the Great Lakes, freezing minimum temperatures were generally limited to Minnesota,  Iowa, northern Missouri, Wisconsin, and Michigan. Steady northerly breezes kept temperatures above freezing to the south of these areas, but some scattered patchy frost was reported in parts of Illinois and southern Missouri.

Although this system was a copious rain producer in the upper Midwest, the air dried out somewhat ahead of the front in the central Midwest. This drying, combined with the timing of the frontal passage overnight resulted in little significant rainfall in the central Midwest.  As the front moved through Ohio on October 6 it ran into moisture associated with Tropical Storm Tammy, and as a result much of the eastern half of Ohio received from one-half to one inch of rain.

The ridge of high pressure dominated  the weather the remainder of the period and temperatures gradually moderated, returning to near to above normal levels on October 10 (Figure 6).

-SDH
   

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