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October 11-17, 2004

  • Weekly Summary

Midwest Weekly Highlights - October 11-17, 2004


Dry Weather Ends in Southern Half of Region

After six weeks of very dry weather across much of the Midwest, significant rain finally fell across the southern half of the region.  Precipitation for the period October 11-17 was more than twice normal across the southeastern two-thirds of Missouri, the southern halves of Illinois and Indiana, and most of Kentucky (Figure 1).  Rainfall was more than 300 percent of normal across extreme southern Missouri, extreme southern Illinois, and  a small adjacent portion of Kentucky.  Western Iowa was the driest portion of the region this week, with little rainfall reported.  Precipitation across the northwestern half of the region was generally less than 50 percent of normal.  October precipitation through October 17 is still below normal across most of the region with the exception of Missouri, western Illinois, Kentucky, and northern Michigan (Figure 2).  Cool weather continued across the Midwest again this week, with below average temperatures across the region (Figure 3).  Temperatures in Missouri , Iowa, and the southern half of Minnesota averaged 6 to 8F degrees below normal, while in the eastern portion of the region temperatures were 4 to 6F below normal.


Matthew Breaks Dry Weather Pattern, and First Snow Falls in the North

The remnants of Tropical Storm Matthew entered the Midwest on October 11, bringing with it much needed rain.  It was the first significant rain for the central portion of the Midwest in almost four weeks.  The low pressure system moved from the Arkansas-Louisiana border on the morning of the 11th to near the Missouri boot heel by the morning of October 12 (Figure 4).   The storm pushed rain northward in a wide arc from Ohio westward into eastern Iowa (Figure 5, UCAR/RAP).  Rainfall from this system was heaviest across Missouri, Illinois, Indiana, and Ohio as the low slowly moved through the Ohio Valley the first three days of the period.  As what remained of T.S. Matthew departed the region, a strong upper level low began digging into the central U.S. on October 13, and by October 14 was entering western Missouri  (Figure 6).  A wide band of rain developed ahead of the upper low and more rain fell from Missouri through Illinois and Indiana, as well as in northern Michigan (Figure 7, Unisys).  The surface low rapidly intensified on October 14-15 as it moved northeast into the Great Lakes, generating strong northwesterly winds and pulling down much colder air into the Midwest.  On October 14, International Falls, MN tied their record low temperature with a reading of 21F.  Embarrass, MN reported 18F, the coldest reading in the contiguous 48 states on October 14. High temperatures on October 16 reached only the upper 40s to low 50s as far south and east as southern Ohio (Figure 8, Unisys & MRCC), and maximum temperatures were 16 to 20 F below normal in a band from northwestern Minnesota to the Ohio River (Figure 9).  The first snow of  the season was recorded in parts of Wisconsin and Michigan on October 16.  Heavy snow fell in the western Michigan UP in the Keweenaw Peninsula, with 14.0 inches reported at Phoenix and 6.0 inches at Wakefield.  One to four inches fell over much of the area. In lower Michigan, Gaylord received 3.0 inches of snow, with other locations in northwest lower Michigan reporting an inch of new snow.  A few tenths of an inch of snow accumulated in the lake effect areas of northern Wisconsin.  Green Bay and Rhinelander, WI reported a trace of snow, and flurries were reported in a few other locations in central and east-central Wisconsin.  Ice pellets were reported at Madison, WI and other counties in south-central and southeastern Wisconsin.

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