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The El Niño of 2015-2016 is shaping up to be one of the strongest El Niño events on record.  Use this page to follow along as this El Niño event evolves.

El Niño Southern Oscellation Animation Oceanic El Niño index values over the past twelce 3-month seasons
Left image credit: National Weather Sesrvice's Climate Prediction Center.  Right image: Oceanic Niño Index values over the past twelve 3-month
averaged seasons. For example, JAS represents the July-September three-month averaged period.

MRCC GIS El Niño Comparison Tool

Compare the 2015-16 El Niño to six other strong El Niño events as it happens using the MRCC GIS El Niño Comparison Tool!  Compare temperature and precipitation for climate divisions nationwide.  Snowfall is also available for the 9-state Midwest region.  Monthly and seasonal data will be updated throughout the winter.

El Niño Monitoring Pages

Winter Outlook

Latest update: 19 Nov 2015  (updates every third Thursday of the month)

The winter outlook from the National Weather Service’s Climate Prediction Center (CPC) is calling for a chance of above normal temperatures for most of the Midwest.  The northern halves of Minnesota, Wisconsin and Michigan have the highest probability of above normal temperatures, while southern Missouri and western Kentucky have equal chances of above or below normal temperatures for the winter.

The CPC is also calling for a chance of below normal precipitation across the Great Lakes this winter.  Southern Minnesota, Iowa, Missouri, western Illinois and Kentucky have equal chances of above or below normal precipitation for the winter.   (Click maps below to see enlarged version.)

Watch this video from the CPC for more information: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9yZiYtoezlY

Dec Jan Feb (2015-16) 90-Day Outlook: Temp  Dec Jan Feb (2015-16) 90-Day Outlook: Precip  

To see other three month outlooks from the CPC, take a look at their Three-Month Outlooks page.

Other Resources

Midwest El Niño Report   Missouri River Basin El Niño Report   Great Lakes El Niño Report El Niño webinar for Missouri River Basin
Regional Reports: Midwest, Missouri River Basin, Great Lakes Regional Webinars